for Saudi Arabia
U.S. Sets Record for Oil Production Growth in 2018; U.S. Expected to Drive Global Supply Growth Through 2024
Both BP and the IEA expect U.S. production to drive global supply growth in the coming years, but uncertainty about shale's production trajectory was marked out as a potential concern.
Russian discontent over Saudi intentions to reduce production is a likely potential flashpoint for the upcoming meeting—but internal OPEC politics, particularly between Saudi Arabia and Iran, mean this summit is rife with tension that threatens to upset proceedings.
The members of the OPEC+ coalition have different economic incentives. Most member countries are producing as much as they can and have little scope for higher output, so they are on board with an extension of production cuts.
Any decision to reduce oil inventories OPEC's upcoming meeting will be greatly helped by Venezuela’s declining oil production, which has just fallen to its lowest levels since January 2003.
The oil price increase sparked by the recent attacks on Saudi oil tankers is concerning for the United States, because oil is the lifeblood of the American economy.
A series of apparent attacks on oil infrastructure in the Arabian Peninsula thrusted geopolitical risk to the forefront of market concerns. Against a backdrop of an already tightening supply-demand balance, the possibility of a serious supply outage poses a major risk to market stability.
The U.S. State Department announced on April 22 that it would let all Iran sanctions waivers expire at the beginning of May as part of the Trump administration’s “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran.
Aramco's bond prospectus details a company which has production costs that are less than half of its nearest rival and achieves levels of production greater than ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell BP and Total combined.
For the United States to realize its foreign policy ambitions, domestic oil demand must be reduced.
Despite a range of uncertainties looming over the oil market this year, there is a growing sense that OPEC+ might be able to succeed in balancing the market after all.